El Niño Advisory: El Niño conditions are present. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the western and central Pacific, while near-to-below average SSTs are evident in the eastern Pacific. There is an approximately 50-60% chance that El Niño conditions will continue through Southern Hemisphere winter 2015.
Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month. Winds will be greater than average in much of the South Pacific Ocean and the Southern Ocean around and to the east of New Zealand and the North Atlantic. Northern Australia and much of the Indian Ocean and Southern Afirca and southern South America will have below average winds. Much of Asia will be near normal.
Much of the northern hemisphere should be near normal or slightly above normal for solar radiation levels for the month. Australia will be slightly to moderately below normal and much of South America and Africa below normal. The Middle East could be moderately below normal as well as Mexico.
Cool outbreaks are possible across most of the southern half of Africa will be much of South America and the eastern half of North America and the west coast of the South and North Islands of New Zealand while much of the rest of the world could be near normal accept in the Pacific Ocean where the north Pacific through to the equatorial Pacific will be much warmer than normal as will be the eastern Pacific off of South America. While the North Atlantic area will be cooler than normal the Atlantic to the east of the Caribbean will be warmer than normal and along the eastern seaboard of the USA and Canada and northern Europe. The east coast of China and areas of Southeast Asia will be warmer than normal as will be the Nusa Tengarra region of Indonesia.
Large parts of the US Southwest and South and interior parts of Argentina and Brazil near the Andes could have extreme precipitation as well as the Himalayas. Papua New Guinea, Southern Malay Peninsula and the Philippines could be unusually dry along with parts of the Amazon Basin and western USA and Canada.