Summary for the World

In January and February ENSO-neutral conditions continued. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the western and central Pacific, while near average SSTs are evident in the eastern Pacific. There is an approximately 50-60% chance of El NiƱo within the late Southern Hemisphere summer and early autumn, with ENSO-neutral slightly favored thereafter.

February Wind

Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe and parts of the Mediterranean Basin with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the north eastern Pacific Ocean and slightly above average for the South Western Pacific ocean and the South Pacific south of 30 degrees, including New Zealand.

February Solar Radiation

Much of the world should expect normal solar radiation levels for the month with the exception of Mexico and Sri Lanka with lower than normal amounts and parts of the tropical Western Pacific Ocean and Central Indian Ocean.

February Temperature Extreme Forecast Index

The Pacific Northwest of the US and Central Asia and the Pacific Coast of South America signal extreme warm temperatures while the Northeast of the North American Continent are signalled as having extreme cold. The rest of the world shows not clear signal for extreme warm or cold conditions.

February Precipitation Extreme Forecast Index

Potential for extreme precipitation is signalled for the Andes and Pacific Coast of South America and for large parts of Central Mexico and west Central China and the tropical West Pacific region. Extreme dry conditions are possible in the Amazon Basin and Northern Australia.

March Wind

Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe and parts of the Mediterranean Basin with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the north eastern Pacific Ocean and North Atlantic Ocean.

March Solar Radiation

Much of the world should expect normal solar radiation levels for the month.

March Temperature Extreme Forecast Index

The Pacific Northwest of the US and Central Asia and the Pacific Coast of South America signal extreme warm temperatures while the Northeast of the North American Continent are signalled as having extreme cold. The rest of the world shows not clear signal for extreme warm or cold conditions.

March Precipitation Extreme Forecast Index

Potential for extreme precipitation is signalled for the Andes and Pacific Coast of South America and for large parts of Central Mexico and the Us Southwest and west Central China and the tropical West Pacific region. Extreme dry conditions are possible in the Amazon Basin and Indonesia and the Philippines and Central Africa.

April Wind

Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe and parts of the Mediterranean Basin with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the north eastern Pacific ocean an slightly above average for the South Western Pacific ocean and the South Pacific south of 30 degrees.

April Solar Radiation

Much of the world should expect normal solar radiation levels for the month.

April Temperature Extreme Forecast Index

The Pacific Northwest of the US and Central Asia and the Pacific Coast of South America signal extreme warm temperatures while the Northeast of the North American Continent are signalled as having extreme cold. The rest of the world shows not clear signal for extreme warm or cold conditions.

April Precipitation Extreme Forecast Index

Potential for extreme precipitation is signalled for the Andes and Pacific Coast of South America and for large parts of Central Mexico and the Us Southwest and west Central China and the tropical West Pacific region. Extreme dry conditions are possible in the Amazon Basin and Indonesia and the Philippines and Central Africa and Northern Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia.

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