Summary for the World

In January and February ENSO-neutral conditions continued. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the western and central Pacific, while near average SSTs are evident in the eastern Pacific. There is an approximately 50-60% chance of El NiƱo within the late Southern Hemisphere summer and early autumn, with ENSO-neutral slightly favored thereafter.

March Wind

Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe and parts of the Mediterranean Basin with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the north eastern Pacific Ocean and North Atlantic Ocean and in the vicinity of the Solomon Islands. Below normal winds are expected around the equatorial Pacific.

March Solar Radiation

Much of the world should expect normal solar radiation levels for the month except for the Eastern North Pacific extending across the southern states of the United States and Central China and the Middle East. Parts of Eastern Australia are likely to be greater than normal as well as much of Southern South America and East Africa.

March Temperature Extreme Forecast Index

The Pacific Northwest of the US and Central Asia and the Pacific Coast of South America signal warmer than normal temperatures while the Northeast of the North American Continent is signaled as having extreme cold. The rest of the world shows no clear signal for extreme warm or cold conditions except for coastal China and along the Pacific coast of South America.

March Precipitation Extreme Forecast Index

Potential for extreme precipitation is signaled for the northern Andes and while the southern Pacific Coast of South America could be substantially drier. Large parts of Central Mexico and the US Southwest and Southern USA could have extreme precipitation although most areas are just slightly wetter. Central China could have extreme precipitation events and also the Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea while Java and Sumatra and the Southern Malay Peninsula could be unusually dry along with Central Africa.

April Wind

Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe and parts of the Mediterranean Basin with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the Western Pacific Ocean and slightly above average for the South Western Pacific ocean and the South Pacific south of 30 degrees.

April Solar Radiation

Much of the world should expect normal solar radiation levels for the month except for the Eastern North Pacific extending across the southern states of the United States.

April Temperature Extreme Forecast Index

Northeast Asia and Northeast North America are expected to be cooler and much of the rest of the world near normal expect in the Pacific Ocean where the eastern Pacific will be warmer and central and western Pacific cooler.

April Precipitation Extreme Forecast Index

Potential for extreme precipitation is signaled for the northern Andes and while the southern Pacific Coast of South America could be substantially drier. Large parts of Central Mexico and the US Southwest and Southern USA could have extreme precipitation although most areas are just slightly wetter. Central China could have extreme precipitation events and also the Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea while Java and Sumatra and the Southern Malay Peninsula could be unusually dry along with Central Africa.

May Wind

Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month.

May Solar Radiation

Much of the world should expect normal solar radiation levels for the month.

May Temperature Extreme Forecast Index

Northeast Asia and isolated parts of Northeast North America are expected to be cooler and much of the rest of the world near normal expect in the Pacific Ocean where the eastern Pacific will be warmer and central and western Pacific cooler. Eastern Australia and New Zealand are expected to be cooler than normal. Coastal China is expected to be warmer than normal.

May Precipitation Extreme Forecast Index

Potential for extreme precipitation is signaled for the Andes of South America and for parts of Central Mexico and the US Southwest and West Central China. Extreme dry conditions are very limited expect in Indonesia and Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Southern China and the Philippines and Papua New Guinea and Central Africa and Solomon Islands region.

Select a Forecast and Variable above to view data