El Niño Advisory: El Niño conditions are present. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the western and central Pacific, while near-to-below average SSTs are evident in the eastern Pacific. There is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño conditions will continue through Southern Hemisphere winter 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015.
Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month. Winds will be greater than average in much of the South Pacific Ocean and the Southern Ocean around and to the west of New Zealand and the North Atlantic. Much of Australia, New Zealand and Asia will be near normal. Southern India and the sea to the west of India will be moderately below normal.
Much of the northern hemisphere should be near normal or slightly above normal for solar radiation levels for the month. Australia will be slightly below normal and much of South America will be below normal. The Middle East could be moderately below normal as well southern China and small parts of Mexico. West and Central India will be above normal as well as much of Southeast Asia through the Philippines. The southern inter-tropical convergence zone of the Pacific Ocean will be well below normal.
Cool outbreaks are possible across most of the southern half of Africa will be much of South America and the eastern half of North America and the west coast of the South and North Islands of New Zealand while much of the rest of the world could be near normal accept in the Pacific Ocean where the north Pacific through to the equatorial Pacific will be much warmer than normal as will be the eastern Pacific off of South America. While the North Atlantic area will be near normal the Atlantic to the east of the Caribbean will be warmer than normal and along the eastern seaboard of the USA and Canada and northern Europe. The east coast of China and areas of Southeast Asia will be warmer than normal as will be the Nusa Tengarra region of Indonesia.
Parts of the US Midwest and Rocky Mountains and South and interior parts of Argentina and Brazil near the Andes could have extreme precipitation as well as the Himalayas. Papua New Guinea, Southern Malay Peninsula and the Philippines could be unusually dry along with parts of the Amazon Basin and western USA and Canada.