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Sample Forecast for New Zealand

Summary for New Zealand

Synopsis: ENSO-neutral conditions are favored to continue through at least the Southern Hemisphere fall 2017, with increasing chances for El Niño development by late winter and spring.

ENSO-neutral conditions continued during March, with near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central equatorial Pacific and above-average SSTs in the eastern Pacific

Most models predict the continuation of ENSO-neutral (3-month average Niño-3

North Island

Temperature

May

Cooler than normal from Auckland north and along the east coast from East Cape to Wellington

Precipitation

May

Most of the island should be moderately drier than normal with only a small area in the northern Hawkes Bay expected to be near normal.

South Island

Temperature

May

Most of the Alps should be moderately warmer than normal with much of the rest of the island slightly warmer than normal with near normal temperatures in the far northwest and South Canterbury.

Precipitation

May

Moderately drier across most of the island but near normal in the far south and southwest.